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  • Is the RMB undervalued?
    • Much ado about nothing.....
    • budget deficit -> low interest rates -> RMB appreciation -> trade deficit -> angry congressmen
    • Root cause - two institutional problems
      • Large US budget deficits
      • Inefficient domestic markets in the PRC

  • Political risk
    • Can PRC government cope with rising political expectations?
    • Possibility of conflict over Taiwan.

  • What will China look like 20 years from now?

  • Environmental issues

  • Aging population
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